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DEVIL'S ADVOCATE
CHRONICLE Im not consulted often as to what people should do with their money. Mind you, this could have something to do with my track record. Lets leave aside for the moment my portfolio of shares, where some wide-boy has successfully managed to lose half the value of my investment. Nothing odd there you may say, hasnt everyones portfolio suffered similarly? Probably, but that may be due as much to following the herd instinct as against picking bummers in terms of companies or indeed sectors. Im sure if I had left my investments in certain drinks companies I would not have had the losses I now sadly contemplate. So I am probably a supporter of drinks in their widest sense
in more ways than one perhaps. However I was really referring in the opening paragraph to my other major self managed investments, and these could give the first clue as to why I am not called upon often to dispense financial advice. Youll want to know what these blue chip investments are no doubt: well, with not a little embarrassment, Ill tell youif you promise not to spread it around. Hows about a 25% stake in the holding company which has a controlling interest in a Second Division Scottish League football team. A stormer that one
a licence to print money. Or theres my classic car
never depreciates
a hedge against the vagaries of the stock market. If one forgets about the never ending garage bills, the rebuilds, the entry fees for the odd event or two and the other costs associated with keeping going a 38 year old example of British engineering at its best
I really cant lose with this one either. Then there is the racehorsewell two of them actuallyalthough one is almost constantly injured and doesnt do a lot other than eat regularly and get new shoes... often! And there are another three joint owners to share the costsand the glorywith, so Ive cleverly minimised my exposure. Im really something of a guru then when it comes to investing. So pay attention. I note with interest the spectacular investment opportunities that are currently being touted in other whisky publications. You know the kind of thing... a bond payment... anything from £500 to £2000. Unique club membership, bottles now or at some time in the future. Some cleverly worded blurb that the as-yet unbuilt distillery will make the product in the original way... whatever the hell that means. Some implied criticism (a Grouse perhaps?) of the way existing distillery owners go about their business... and a promise of great future opportunities specific to the bondholder. Bells are ringing here and I dont mean the UKs no 1 blend either. Its not that many years ago we were urged to buy casks of whisky for investment purposes. Remember that one? That was where the major companies allegedly never carried sufficient stocks for their future sales and therefore bought from the market in future years. The returns were mindblowing. Sadly, however, the arithmeticwhilst correctwas based on seriously unrelated numbers. It was easy to get a 2- or 300% return on investment if one started with a filling price from the distillery (no duty, no warehouse rent) and then work up the numbers of bottles one could expect from the cask in 5, 8 or 12 years time multiplied by the selling price of a 5, 8 or 12 year bottle of an equivalent product... this time inclusive of duty! Investors also had opportunities to buy young previously distilled spirit. This was based on someones perception of market priceand other examples of market prices were often quoted demonstrating what the investment would be worth if you simply sat tight. Maybe they forgot to explain warehouse rental charges, or that market priceslike my sharescan fluctuate wildly. Many investors wanted out after a year or two. It was then that they discovered that the major whisky companies had no need or desire to purchase casks of whisky. Even if they did, market prices were far lower than the investors had been led to believe. A con trick they cried... groupings came together to seek justice. Too late, The Scotch Whisky Association made a statement warning the gullible. The damage was done however. The Serious Fraud Squad became involved... arrests in London, and Gibraltar... companies wound up... eventually jail sentences for some and others on the periphery of all the shenanigans desperately buying back stocks from disillusioned investors. Now, far be it from me to suggest that investing in new distilleriesas yet unbuiltis in any way risky. Far be it from me to link the investment scams of the 90s to the new thinking around boutique distilleries in hitherto virgin areas of Scotland. But go in with your eyes wide open. Do remember these other investment opportunities of past years. There are still people out there hurting... and I am something of an expert on hurting given the investments I have! Why bother owning a distillery... its only a factory after all. A means to an end. Save your money on the factory investment... buy a bottle or two of the output from many years ago instead. The mighty Loch Fyne Whiskies will be delighted to advise... hell the editor will parcel and post your order to you personally! Youll also be able to partake of your purchase there and then... no waiting till it matures! If, however, you are determined to go ahead, if you have money burning a hole in your pocket, if you crave club membership, if you need a conversation stopper at parties... maybe I can help. Shares can be made available in Raith Rovers Football Club. You may want to sponsor a wheel or a wing on a 1965 Mini Cooper S. Or hows about a fetlock or two on a couple of racehorses? I know the editor will pass on to me all of your enquiries. I look forward to hearing from you. [LikewiseEd.] |